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Olimpik-Mobiuz vs BuxDu — Pro League A 2026

Olimpik-Mobiuz
Olimpik-Mobiuz
Preview
13:00
BuxDu
BuxDu
9/6/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 18
72%
Olimpik-Mobiuz
model favours
72%19%9%
1–0
likely score
54%
under 2.5 goals
35%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Olimpik-Mobiuz72%
×Draw19%
BuxDu9%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Olimpik-Mobiuz
2.00
BuxDu
0.52

Olimpik-Mobiuz creates 285% more chances

Season form · 29 home / 5 away

creates per match

Olimpik-Mobiuz
1.59
BuxDu
0.00

allows per match

Olimpik-Mobiuz
1.03
BuxDu
2.40

finishing

Olimpik-Mobiuz+0.00on par
BuxDu+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Olimpik-Mobiuz ↓

BuxDu →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–14%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–18%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–016%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–011%
3–16%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Olimpik-Mobiuz or draw
91%
Olimpik-Mobiuz or BuxDu
81%
Draw or BuxDu
28%

Winning margin

Olimpik-Mobiuz wins by 2+
46%
BuxDu wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Olimpik-Mobiuz 1+ goals
86%
Olimpik-Mobiuz 2+ goals
59%
Olimpik-Mobiuz 3+ goals
32%
BuxDu 1+ goals
41%
BuxDu 2+ goals
10%
BuxDu 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Olimpik-Mobiuz (draw refunded)
89%
BuxDu (draw refunded)
11%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Olimpik-Mobiuz at home — creates 1.59, concedes 1.03 · 29 matches

BuxDu away — creates 0.00, concedes 2.40 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Olimpik-Mobiuz attack 1.59 + BuxDu defence 2.40 → ÷2 → 2.00

BuxDu attack 0.00 + Olimpik-Mobiuz defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 0.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Olimpik-Mobiuz scores more
72%
level
19%
BuxDu scores more
9%

Olimpik-Mobiuz at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Olimpik-Mobiuz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Olimpik-Mobiuz
WLWLD
BuxDu
WWWLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Olimpik-Mobiuz vs BuxDu — Match Preview

Olimpik-Mobiuz face BuxDu on September 6, 2026 in this Pro League A fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.