ODD Ballklubb 0–4 Haugesund: Result & Stats

ODD Ballklubb

FT

0 – 4

HT: 0 – 2

Haugesund

A. Søderlund 54'

A. Ndour 51'

M. Sande 17'

S. Reese 9'

5/16/2022

Eliteserien · Round 6Skagerak Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 23+ matches

ODD Ballklubb50%

×Draw23%

Haugesund27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ODD BallklubbExpected goals in this matchHaugesund

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.83

1.28

ODD Ballklubb

1.83

Haugesund

1.28

ODD Ballklubb creates 43% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 30 away

1.30

creates per match

1.07

1.49

allows per match

2.36

creates per match

ODD Ballklubb

1.30

Haugesund

1.07

allows per match

ODD Ballklubb

1.49

Haugesund

2.36

+0.05on par

finishing

-0.10scores less than expected

finishing

ODD Ballklubb+0.05on par

Haugesund-0.10scores less

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ODD Ballklubb ↓

Haugesund →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

60%40%3.5

38%62%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

ODD Ballklubb or draw

73%

ODD Ballklubb or Haugesund

77%

Draw or Haugesund

50%

Winning margin

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+

28%

Haugesund wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals

84%

ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals

54%

ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals

28%

Haugesund 1+ goals

72%

Haugesund 2+ goals

37%

Haugesund 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)

65%

Haugesund (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ODD Ballklubb at home — creates 1.30, concedes 1.49 · 23 matches

Haugesund away — creates 1.07, concedes 2.36 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.30 + Haugesund defence 2.36 → ÷2 → 1.83

Haugesund attack 1.07 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

ODD Ballklubb scores more

50%

level

23%

Haugesund scores more

27%

ODD Ballklubb at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "ODD Ballklubb will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

E. Selvik

Haugesund · G

8.9

Match Events

9'

S. Reese↳ C. Zafeiris

17'

M. Sande↳ A. Søderlund

46'

G. Rólantsson← J. Baccay

46'

A. Stensrud← M. Ingebrigtsen

51'

A. Ndour↳ A. Søderlund

54'

A. Søderlund↳ C. Zafeiris

58'

C. Wallem← M. Jevtović

58'

F. Kastrati← M. Lekven

60'

T. Naustdal← A. Søderlund

63'

S. Aas← F. Jørgensen

76'

V. Solheim← U. Fredriksen

76'

B. Njie← J. Eskesen

90'

H. Gong← A. Ndour

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ODDHaugesund

Overview

70%Possession30%

19Total Shots7

10Corners3

6Fouls9

Shots

19Total Shots7

6On Target5

7Off Target0

6Blocked2

9Inside Box6

10Outside Box1

Passing

70%Possession30%

682Total Passes296

601Accurate Passes205

88%Pass Accuracy69%

Goalkeeping

1Saves6

Discipline

6Fouls9

3Offsides1

Match Recap: ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund

Haugesund beat ODD Ballklubb 4-0 in Eliteserien on May 16, 2022.

Goals: S. Reese (9'), M. Sande (17'), A. Ndour (51'), A. Søderlund (54').

ODD Ballklubb controlled possession (70%) and registered 19 shots to 7.

The match was played at Skagerak Arena in Skien.

ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: ODD Ballklubb vs Haugesund