Scoreo

Obolon'-Brovar vs KudrivkaFriendlies Clubs 2026

56%
Obolon'-Brovar
model favours
56%23%21%

Kudrivka score first in only 7% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
52%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Obolon'-Brovar56%
×Draw23%
Kudrivka21%
Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Obolon'-Brovar
1.79
Kudrivka
0.98

Obolon'-Brovar creates 83% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 10 away

creates per match

Obolon'-Brovar
1.57
Kudrivka
0.80

allows per match

Obolon'-Brovar
1.17
Kudrivka
2.00

finishing

Obolon'-Brovar+0.00on par
Kudrivka+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Obolon'-Brovar

Kudrivka
0
1
2
3
4
0
006%
016%
023%
031%
040%
1
1011%
1111%
125%
132%
140%
2
2010%
2110%
225%
232%
240%
3
306%
316%
323%
331%
340%
4
403%
413%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Obolon'-Brovar or draw
79%
Obolon'-Brovar or Kudrivka
77%
Draw or Kudrivka
44%

Winning margin

Obolon'-Brovar wins by 2+
32%
Kudrivka wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Obolon'-Brovar 1+ goals
83%
Obolon'-Brovar 2+ goals
53%
Obolon'-Brovar 3+ goals
26%
Kudrivka 1+ goals
62%
Kudrivka 2+ goals
26%
Kudrivka 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Obolon'-Brovar (draw refunded)
73%
Kudrivka (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Obolon'-Brovar at homecreates 1.57, concedes 1.17 · 23 matches

Kudrivka awaycreates 0.80, concedes 2.00 · 10 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Obolon'-Brovar attack 1.57 + Kudrivka defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.79

Kudrivka attack 0.80 + Obolon'-Brovar defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Obolon'-Brovar scores more
56%
level
23%
Kudrivka scores more
21%

Obolon'-Brovar at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Obolon'-Brovar will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Obolon'-Brovar score first in only 12% of matches
  • Kudrivka win just 9% of their away games
  • 33% of Obolon'-Brovar’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • Obolon'-Brovar matches are rarely goalless — only 4.8% end 0-0

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Obolon'-Brovar
WWDDW
Kudrivka
LWLWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Obolon'-Brovar host Kudrivka

July 24, 2026: Obolon'-Brovar take on Kudrivka in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.