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Nykobing FC vs FA 2000 — 2nd Division - Group 1 2018

Nykobing FC
Nykobing FC
Preview
12:00
FA 2000
FA 2000
9/13/20262nd Division - Group 12nd Division - Group 1 · Round 7
Big match
40%
Nykobing FC
model favours
40%27%33%

Nykobing FC are unbeaten in 11 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
56%
under 2.5 goals
49%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 32+ matches

Nykobing FC40%
×Draw27%
FA 200033%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Nykobing FC
1.30
FA 2000
1.14

Nykobing FC creates 14% more chances

Season form · 32 home / 35 away

creates per match

Nykobing FC
0.94
FA 2000
0.77

allows per match

Nykobing FC
1.50
FA 2000
1.66

finishing

Nykobing FC+0.00on par
FA 2000+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nykobing FC ↓

FA 2000 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Nykobing FC or draw
67%
Nykobing FC or FA 2000
73%
Draw or FA 2000
60%

Winning margin

Nykobing FC wins by 2+
18%
FA 2000 wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Nykobing FC 1+ goals
73%
Nykobing FC 2+ goals
37%
Nykobing FC 3+ goals
14%
FA 2000 1+ goals
68%
FA 2000 2+ goals
32%
FA 2000 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Nykobing FC (draw refunded)
55%
FA 2000 (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nykobing FC at home — creates 0.94, concedes 1.50 · 32 matches

FA 2000 away — creates 0.77, concedes 1.66 · 35 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nykobing FC attack 0.94 + FA 2000 defence 1.66 → ÷2 → 1.30

FA 2000 attack 0.77 + Nykobing FC defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Nykobing FC scores more
40%
level
27%
FA 2000 scores more
33%

Nykobing FC at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Nykobing FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FA 2000 score first in only 7% of matches
  • Nykobing FC have won 6 in a row
  • 73% of Nykobing FC’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Nykobing FC have won 5 of the last 6 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
FC
WWWW
2000
LDLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Nykobing FC vs FA 2000 — Match Preview

Nykobing FC face FA 2000 on September 13, 2026 in this 2nd Division - Group 1 fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.