Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Neudrossenfeld vs Bayern Hof — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Neudrossenfeld
Neudrossenfeld
Preview
17:00
Bayern Hof
Bayern Hof
10/23/2026Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 16
Big match
42%
Neudrossenfeld
model favours
42%24%34%
1–1
likely score
58%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

Neudrossenfeld42%
×Draw24%
Bayern Hof34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Neudrossenfeld
1.60
Bayern Hof
1.42

Neudrossenfeld creates 13% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 68 away

creates per match

Neudrossenfeld
1.57
Bayern Hof
1.51

allows per match

Neudrossenfeld
1.33
Bayern Hof
1.62

finishing

Neudrossenfeld+0.00on par
Bayern Hof+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Neudrossenfeld ↓

Bayern Hof →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Neudrossenfeld or draw
66%
Neudrossenfeld or Bayern Hof
76%
Draw or Bayern Hof
58%

Winning margin

Neudrossenfeld wins by 2+
21%
Bayern Hof wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Neudrossenfeld 1+ goals
80%
Neudrossenfeld 2+ goals
47%
Neudrossenfeld 3+ goals
22%
Bayern Hof 1+ goals
76%
Bayern Hof 2+ goals
41%
Bayern Hof 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Neudrossenfeld (draw refunded)
55%
Bayern Hof (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Neudrossenfeld at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.33 · 51 matches

Bayern Hof away — creates 1.51, concedes 1.62 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Neudrossenfeld attack 1.57 + Bayern Hof defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.60

Bayern Hof attack 1.51 + Neudrossenfeld defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Neudrossenfeld scores more
42%
level
24%
Bayern Hof scores more
34%

Neudrossenfeld at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Neudrossenfeld will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Neudrossenfeld
LDLLW
Hof
DDWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Neudrossenfeld face Bayern Hof (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)

Oberliga - Bayern Nord returns with Neudrossenfeld hosting Bayern Hof. Match starts October 23, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.