Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 6+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
36%
Over
64%
Under
Both Score
43%
Yes
57%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
0-1
13%
1-0
12%
xG Profile (6 home / 8 away matches)
Nacional
xG 1.29 · xGA 1.29
+0.71 vs xG
Moreirense
xG 0.9 · xGA 0.79
+0.1 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Nacional vs Moreirense — Primeira Liga 2025
Primeira Liga·2025📍Estádio da Madeira- Date
- Oct 4, 2025, 2:30 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8
- Referee
- Helder Malheiro (Portugal)
- Venue
- Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Nacional
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52043%
- Under 2.52657%
Both teams scored
- Yes2248%
- No2452%
Moreirense
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52552%
- Under 2.52348%
Both teams scored
- Yes2552%
- No2348%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Estoril
Alverca
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Nacional
Casa Pia
Estrela
Tondela
AVS
TorreenseIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Nacional host Moreirense on Saturday, 4 October 2025 at 14:30. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2025/2026 season.
Nacional 3 – 2 Moreirense
Nacional beat Moreirense 3-2 in Primeira Liga on October 4, 2025.
The match was played at Estádio da Madeira in Funchal.