Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 5+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
46%
Over
54%
Under
Both Score
51%
Yes
49%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
1-0
11%
0-1
10%
xG Profile (5 home / 6 away matches)
Nacional
xG 1.24 · xGA 1.48
+0.76 vs xG
Alverca
xG 0.88 · xGA 1.4
-0.05 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Nacional vs Alverca — Primeira Liga 2025
Primeira Liga·2025📍Estádio da Madeira- Date
- Apr 18, 2026, 2:30 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30
- Referee
- M. Nogueira
- Venue
- Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Nacional
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51643%
- Under 2.52157%
Both teams scored
- Yes1746%
- No2054%
Alverca
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51851%
- Under 2.51749%
Both teams scored
- Yes2057%
- No1543%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Arouca
Guimaraes
Estoril
Alverca
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Nacional
Estrela
Casa Pia
Tondela
AVSIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Nacional host Alverca on Saturday, 18 April 2026 at 14:30. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2025/2026 season.
Match Recap: Nacional vs Alverca
Nacional beat Alverca 1-0 in Primeira Liga on April 18, 2026.
The match was played at Estádio da Madeira in Funchal.