Mumbai City 0–0 Hyderabad: Result & Stats

Mumbai City

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Hyderabad

1/16/2021

Indian Super League · Round 12Mumbai Football Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 63+ matches

Mumbai City45%

×Draw25%

Hyderabad29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Mumbai CityExpected goals in this matchHyderabad

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.54

1.19

Mumbai City

1.54

Hyderabad

1.19

Mumbai City creates 29% more chances

Season form · 70 home / 63 away

1.63

creates per match

1.25

1.14

allows per match

1.46

creates per match

Mumbai City

1.63

Hyderabad

1.25

allows per match

Mumbai City

1.14

Hyderabad

1.46

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Mumbai City+0.00on par

Hyderabad+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mumbai City ↓

Hyderabad →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

76%24%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Mumbai City or draw

71%

Mumbai City or Hyderabad

75%

Draw or Hyderabad

55%

Winning margin

Mumbai City wins by 2+

23%

Hyderabad wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Mumbai City 1+ goals

79%

Mumbai City 2+ goals

45%

Mumbai City 3+ goals

20%

Hyderabad 1+ goals

70%

Hyderabad 2+ goals

33%

Hyderabad 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Mumbai City (draw refunded)

61%

Hyderabad (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mumbai City at home — creates 1.63, concedes 1.14 · 70 matches

Hyderabad away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.46 · 63 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mumbai City attack 1.63 + Hyderabad defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.54

Hyderabad attack 1.25 + Mumbai City defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Mumbai City scores more

45%

level

25%

Hyderabad scores more

29%

Mumbai City at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Mumbai City will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

5

A. Jahouh

Mumbai City · M

8.3

Match Events

35'

Chinglensana Singh Konsham

59'

V. Dakshinamurthy← Bipin Singh

65'

B. Ogbeche← C. Goddard

69'

Hernán

74'

R. Alberg← Aridane

78'

H. Narzary← M. Yasir

80'

Vikram Singh← R. Fernandes

81'

S. Tavora← J. Chianese

83'

Vikram Pratap Singh

85'

Adam Le Fondre

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

MumbaiHyderabad

Overview

57%Possession43%

11Total Shots8

4Corners7

11Fouls9

Shots

11Total Shots8

3On Target6

7Off Target2

1Blocked0

8Inside Box5

3Outside Box3

Passing

57%Possession43%

464Total Passes337

370Accurate Passes256

80%Pass Accuracy76%

Goalkeeping

6Saves3

Discipline

11Fouls9

3Yellow Cards1

0Offsides1