Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Mighty Tigers vs Masters Security — Super League 2026

Mighty Tigers
Mighty Tigers
PST
00:00
Masters Security
Masters Security
7/14/2019Super LeagueSuper League · Round 1Mulanje Park Stadium (Mulanje)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Mighty Tigers68%
×Draw20%
Masters Security12%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mighty Tigers
2.03
Masters Security
0.73

Mighty Tigers creates 178% more chances

Season form · 78 home / 4 away

creates per match

Mighty Tigers
1.06
Masters Security
0.50

allows per match

Mighty Tigers
0.97
Masters Security
3.00

finishing

Mighty Tigers+0.00on par
Masters Security+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mighty Tigers ↓

Masters Security →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–15%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–19%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–110%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Mighty Tigers or draw
88%
Mighty Tigers or Masters Security
80%
Draw or Masters Security
32%

Winning margin

Mighty Tigers wins by 2+
42%
Masters Security wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Mighty Tigers 1+ goals
87%
Mighty Tigers 2+ goals
60%
Mighty Tigers 3+ goals
33%
Masters Security 1+ goals
52%
Masters Security 2+ goals
17%
Masters Security 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Mighty Tigers (draw refunded)
84%
Masters Security (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mighty Tigers at home — creates 1.06, concedes 0.97 · 78 matches

Masters Security away — creates 0.50, concedes 3.00 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mighty Tigers attack 1.06 + Masters Security defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.03

Masters Security attack 0.50 + Mighty Tigers defence 0.97 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Mighty Tigers scores more
68%
level
20%
Masters Security scores more
12%

Mighty Tigers at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Mighty Tigers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Mighty Tigers face Masters Security (Super League)

Super League returns with Mighty Tigers hosting Masters Security. Match starts July 14, 2019. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Mighty Tigers host Masters Security at Mulanje Park Stadium (Mulanje).

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.