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Meyrin vs Neuchatel Xamax FC — Schweizer Cup 2019

Meyrin
Meyrin
Preview
16:00
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Neuchatel Xamax FC
8/14/2026Schweizer CupSchweizer Cup · Round of 64
92%
Neuchatel Xamax FC
model favours
3%6%92%

Neuchatel Xamax FC score first in only 10% of matches

brightest fact of this match

0–4
likely score
85%
over 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Meyrin3%
×Draw6%
Neuchatel Xamax FC92%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Meyrin
0.72
Neuchatel Xamax FC
4.28

Neuchatel Xamax FC creates 494% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 9 away

creates per match

Meyrin
0.00
Neuchatel Xamax FC
3.56

allows per match

Meyrin
5.00
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.44

finishing

Meyrin+0.00on par
Neuchatel Xamax FC+0.00on par

Total goals

85%Over
  • Over85
  • Under15

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Meyrin ↓

Neuchatel Xamax FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–27%
0–310%
0–411%
1
1–01%
1–12%
1–25%
1–37%
1–48%
2
2–00%
2–11%
2–22%
2–33%
2–43%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–20%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–4 (11%) · grid covers 67% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
85%15%3.5
69%31%4.5
49%51%

Double chance

Meyrin or draw
8%
Meyrin or Neuchatel Xamax FC
94%
Draw or Neuchatel Xamax FC
97%

Winning margin

Meyrin wins by 2+
1%
Neuchatel Xamax FC wins by 2+
80%

Team goals

Meyrin 1+ goals
51%
Meyrin 2+ goals
16%
Meyrin 3+ goals
4%
Neuchatel Xamax FC 1+ goals
98%
Neuchatel Xamax FC 2+ goals
91%
Neuchatel Xamax FC 3+ goals
77%

Draw no bet

Meyrin (draw refunded)
3%
Neuchatel Xamax FC (draw refunded)
97%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Meyrin at home — creates 0.00, concedes 5.00 · 3 matches

Neuchatel Xamax FC away — creates 3.56, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Meyrin attack 0.00 + Neuchatel Xamax FC defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 0.72

Neuchatel Xamax FC attack 3.56 + Meyrin defence 5.00 → ÷2 → 4.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 92%?"

Meyrin scores more
3%
level
6%
Neuchatel Xamax FC scores more
92%

Neuchatel Xamax FC at 92% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 92% does not mean "Neuchatel Xamax FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 90% of Neuchatel Xamax FC’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Neuchatel Xamax FC have scored in 7 games running
  • Meyrin and Neuchatel Xamax FC have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Meyrin
LDWLL
FC
WLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Meyrin host Neuchatel Xamax FC

August 14, 2026: Meyrin take on Neuchatel Xamax FC in Schweizer Cup. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.