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Metalul Buzău vs Unirea Slobozia — Liga II 2018

Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău
Preview
08:00
Unirea Slobozia
Unirea Slobozia
9/12/2026Liga IILiga II · Round 7Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass
40%
Metalul Buzău
model favours
40%27%32%
1–1
likely score
56%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 27+ matches

Metalul Buzău40%
×Draw27%
Unirea Slobozia32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Metalul Buzău
1.31
Unirea Slobozia
1.14

Metalul Buzău creates 15% more chances

Season form · 27 home / 55 away

creates per match

Metalul Buzău
1.52
Unirea Slobozia
1.31

allows per match

Metalul Buzău
0.96
Unirea Slobozia
1.09

finishing

Metalul Buzău+0.00on par
Unirea Slobozia+0.00on par

Total goals

Under: 56Over: 4456%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No: 50Yes: 5050%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Metalul Buzău ↓

Unirea Slobozia →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Metalul Buzău or draw
68%
Metalul Buzău or Unirea Slobozia
73%
Draw or Unirea Slobozia
60%

Winning margin

Metalul Buzău wins by 2+
18%
Unirea Slobozia wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Metalul Buzău 1+ goals
73%
Metalul Buzău 2+ goals
38%
Metalul Buzău 3+ goals
14%
Unirea Slobozia 1+ goals
68%
Unirea Slobozia 2+ goals
32%
Unirea Slobozia 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Metalul Buzău (draw refunded)
56%
Unirea Slobozia (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Metalul Buzău at home — creates 1.52, concedes 0.96 · 27 matches

Unirea Slobozia away — creates 1.31, concedes 1.09 · 55 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Metalul Buzău attack 1.52 + Unirea Slobozia defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.31

Unirea Slobozia attack 1.31 + Metalul Buzău defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Metalul Buzău scores more
40%
level
27%
Unirea Slobozia scores more
32%

Metalul Buzău at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Metalul Buzău will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Buzău
WDWW
Slobozia
LLLDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Metalul Buzău host Unirea Slobozia

September 12, 2026: Metalul Buzău take on Unirea Slobozia in Liga II. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Metalul Buzău host Unirea Slobozia at Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.