Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Metalourg vs Jayxun — Pro League A 2026

Metalourg
Metalourg
Preview
13:00
Jayxun
Jayxun
9/20/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 20Metallurg Stadium
80%
Metalourg
model favours
80%13%7%
2–0
likely score
64%
over 2.5 goals
45%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Metalourg80%
×Draw13%
Jayxun7%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Metalourg
2.69
Jayxun
0.66

Metalourg creates 308% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 14 away

creates per match

Metalourg
2.67
Jayxun
0.64

allows per match

Metalourg
0.67
Jayxun
2.71

finishing

Metalourg+0.00on par
Jayxun+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Metalourg ↓

Jayxun →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–16%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–012%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–08%
4–15%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (13%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Metalourg or draw
93%
Metalourg or Jayxun
87%
Draw or Jayxun
20%

Winning margin

Metalourg wins by 2+
59%
Jayxun wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Metalourg 1+ goals
93%
Metalourg 2+ goals
74%
Metalourg 3+ goals
49%
Jayxun 1+ goals
48%
Jayxun 2+ goals
14%
Jayxun 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Metalourg (draw refunded)
92%
Jayxun (draw refunded)
8%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Metalourg at home — creates 2.67, concedes 0.67 · 6 matches

Jayxun away — creates 0.64, concedes 2.71 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Metalourg attack 2.67 + Jayxun defence 2.71 → ÷2 → 2.69

Jayxun attack 0.64 + Metalourg defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.66

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 80%?"

Metalourg scores more
80%
level
13%
Jayxun scores more
7%

Metalourg at 80% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 80% does not mean "Metalourg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Metalourg
LWLDL
Jayxun
LDLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Metalourg face Jayxun (Pro League A)

Pro League A returns with Metalourg hosting Jayxun. Match starts September 20, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Metalourg host Jayxun at Metallurg Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.