Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor: Preview & Prediction

Manisa F.K.

Preview

17:00

Pendikspor

11/22/2026

1. Lig · Round 15Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu

Big match

39%

Manisa F.K.

model favours

39%26%35%

Pendikspor win just 29% against the top half (vs 55% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1

likely score

51%

over 2.5 goals

55%

both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 57+ matches

Manisa F.K.39%

×Draw26%

Pendikspor35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Manisa F.K.Expected goals in this matchPendikspor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.40

1.30

Manisa F.K.

1.40

Pendikspor

1.30

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 91 home / 57 away

1.45

creates per match

1.42

1.19

allows per match

1.35

creates per match

Manisa F.K.

1.45

Pendikspor

1.42

allows per match

Manisa F.K.

1.19

Pendikspor

1.35

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Manisa F.K.+0.00on par

Pendikspor+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Manisa F.K. ↓

Pendikspor →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Manisa F.K. or draw

65%

Manisa F.K. or Pendikspor

74%

Draw or Pendikspor

61%

Winning margin

Manisa F.K. wins by 2+

18%

Pendikspor wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Manisa F.K. 1+ goals

75%

Manisa F.K. 2+ goals

41%

Manisa F.K. 3+ goals

17%

Pendikspor 1+ goals

73%

Pendikspor 2+ goals

37%

Pendikspor 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Manisa F.K. (draw refunded)

53%

Pendikspor (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Manisa F.K. at home — creates 1.45, concedes 1.19 · 91 matches

Pendikspor away — creates 1.42, concedes 1.35 · 57 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Manisa F.K. attack 1.45 + Pendikspor defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.40

Pendikspor attack 1.42 + Manisa F.K. defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Manisa F.K. scores more

39%

level

26%

Pendikspor scores more

35%

Manisa F.K. at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Manisa F.K. will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

Manisa F.K. fall short of their xG (1.1 vs 1.5 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles

Manisa F.K.

Balanced

Pendikspor

Defensively solid

52%Possession54%

78%Pass accuracy82%

11.9Shots11.8

1.47xGBiggest gap1.11

Manisa F.K.Pendikspor

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

2

Manisa F.K.

1

Draws

3

Pendikspor

Avg goals: 2.2BTTS: 17%

2–00–22–00–11–5

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form

F.K.

WLWWW

Pendikspor

LDWDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Manisa F.K. host Pendikspor

November 22, 2026: Manisa F.K. take on Pendikspor in 1. Lig. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Manisa F.K. host Pendikspor at Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.

Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor — 1. Lig 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Insights

Style Matchup

Head-to-head

Head to Head

Preview: Manisa F.K. host Pendikspor