Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Madrid CFF W vs Eibar W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Madrid CFF W
Madrid CFF W
Preview
16:00
Eibar W
Eibar W
2/7/2027Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 19Estadio Fernando Torres
Big match
48%
Madrid CFF W
model favours
48%24%28%

Madrid CFF W have won 7 of the last 10 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 77+ matches

Madrid CFF W48%
×Draw24%
Eibar W28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Madrid CFF W
1.65
Eibar W
1.19

Madrid CFF W creates 39% more chances

Season form · 118 home / 77 away

creates per match

Madrid CFF W
1.52
Eibar W
0.78

allows per match

Madrid CFF W
1.59
Eibar W
1.77

finishing

Madrid CFF W+0.00on par
Eibar W+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Madrid CFF W ↓

Eibar W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Madrid CFF W or draw
72%
Madrid CFF W or Eibar W
76%
Draw or Eibar W
52%

Winning margin

Madrid CFF W wins by 2+
25%
Eibar W wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Madrid CFF W 1+ goals
81%
Madrid CFF W 2+ goals
49%
Madrid CFF W 3+ goals
23%
Eibar W 1+ goals
70%
Eibar W 2+ goals
33%
Eibar W 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Madrid CFF W (draw refunded)
64%
Eibar W (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Madrid CFF W at home — creates 1.52, concedes 1.59 · 118 matches

Eibar W away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.77 · 77 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Madrid CFF W attack 1.52 + Eibar W defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 1.65

Eibar W attack 0.78 + Madrid CFF W defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Madrid CFF W scores more
48%
level
24%
Eibar W scores more
28%

Madrid CFF W at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Madrid CFF W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings
  • Style contrast — Madrid CFF W play Possession-dominant, Eibar W Direct / counter-attacking

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Madrid CFF W
Possession-dominant
Eibar W
Direct / counter-attacking
57%Possession33%
77%Pass accuracy55%
15.8ShotsBiggest gap8.2
—xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Madrid CFF WEibar W

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

7
Madrid CFF W
0
Draws
3
Eibar W
Avg goals: 3.3BTTS: 80%
3–11–02–12–11–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
LWWLL
W
WDWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Madrid CFF W face Eibar W (Primera División Femenina)

Primera División Femenina returns with Madrid CFF W hosting Eibar W. Match starts February 7, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Madrid CFF W host Eibar W at Estadio Fernando Torres.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.