Maccabi Bnei Raina 0–0 Hapoel Haifa: Result & Stats

Maccabi Bnei Raina

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Hapoel Haifa

1/20/2024

Ligat Ha'al · Round 18Green Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 67+ matches

Maccabi Bnei Raina31%

×Draw27%

Hapoel Haifa42%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Maccabi Bnei RainaExpected goals in this matchHapoel Haifa

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.14

1.38

Maccabi Bnei Raina

1.14

Hapoel Haifa

1.38

Hapoel Haifa creates 21% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 117 away

0.94

creates per match

1.06

1.70

allows per match

1.34

creates per match

Maccabi Bnei Raina

0.94

Hapoel Haifa

1.06

allows per match

Maccabi Bnei Raina

1.70

Hapoel Haifa

1.34

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Maccabi Bnei Raina+0.00on par

Hapoel Haifa+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Maccabi Bnei Raina ↓

Hapoel Haifa →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–111%

0–28%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–113%

1–29%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–17%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Maccabi Bnei Raina or draw

58%

Maccabi Bnei Raina or Hapoel Haifa

73%

Draw or Hapoel Haifa

69%

Winning margin

Maccabi Bnei Raina wins by 2+

12%

Hapoel Haifa wins by 2+

20%

Team goals

Maccabi Bnei Raina 1+ goals

68%

Maccabi Bnei Raina 2+ goals

32%

Maccabi Bnei Raina 3+ goals

11%

Hapoel Haifa 1+ goals

75%

Hapoel Haifa 2+ goals

40%

Hapoel Haifa 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Maccabi Bnei Raina (draw refunded)

42%

Hapoel Haifa (draw refunded)

58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Maccabi Bnei Raina at home — creates 0.94, concedes 1.70 · 67 matches

Hapoel Haifa away — creates 1.06, concedes 1.34 · 117 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Maccabi Bnei Raina attack 0.94 + Hapoel Haifa defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.14

Hapoel Haifa attack 1.06 + Maccabi Bnei Raina defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Maccabi Bnei Raina scores more

31%

level

27%

Hapoel Haifa scores more

42%

Hapoel Haifa at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Hapoel Haifa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff