Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Lyn W vs Stabæk W — Toppserien 2021

Lyn W
Lyn W
Preview
14:00
Stabæk W
Stabæk W
11/7/2026ToppserienToppserien · Round 22Kringsja kunstgress
Big match
43%
Lyn W
model favours
43%25%32%

Stabæk W score first in 64% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
over 2.5 goals
57%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 63+ matches

Lyn W43%
×Draw25%
Stabæk W32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lyn W
1.54
Stabæk W
1.30

Lyn W creates 18% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 68 away

creates per match

Lyn W
1.49
Stabæk W
1.16

allows per match

Lyn W
1.44
Stabæk W
1.59

finishing

Lyn W+0.00on par
Stabæk W+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lyn W ↓

Stabæk W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Lyn W or draw
68%
Lyn W or Stabæk W
75%
Draw or Stabæk W
57%

Winning margin

Lyn W wins by 2+
21%
Stabæk W wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Lyn W 1+ goals
79%
Lyn W 2+ goals
45%
Lyn W 3+ goals
20%
Stabæk W 1+ goals
73%
Stabæk W 2+ goals
37%
Stabæk W 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Lyn W (draw refunded)
57%
Stabæk W (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lyn W at home — creates 1.49, concedes 1.44 · 63 matches

Stabæk W away — creates 1.16, concedes 1.59 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lyn W attack 1.49 + Stabæk W defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.54

Stabæk W attack 1.16 + Lyn W defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Lyn W scores more
43%
level
25%
Stabæk W scores more
32%

Lyn W at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Lyn W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Stabæk W win just 22% against the top half (vs 61% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
LDWLD
W
LWWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Lyn W face Stabæk W (Toppserien)

Toppserien returns with Lyn W hosting Stabæk W. Match starts November 7, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Lyn W host Stabæk W at Kringsja kunstgress.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.