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LSK Kvinner W vs Brann W — Toppserien 2021

LSK Kvinner W
LSK Kvinner W
Preview
14:00
Brann W
Brann W
10/31/2026ToppserienToppserien · Round 21LKS-Hallen
Big match
54%
Brann W
model favours
24%22%54%

Brann W are unbeaten in 10 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–2
likely score
64%
over 2.5 goals
63%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

LSK Kvinner W24%
×Draw22%
Brann W54%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

LSK Kvinner W
1.29
Brann W
2.03

Brann W creates 57% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 58 away

creates per match

LSK Kvinner W
1.81
Brann W
2.72

allows per match

LSK Kvinner W
1.33
Brann W
0.76

finishing

LSK Kvinner W+0.00on par
Brann W+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

LSK Kvinner W ↓

Brann W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–27%
0–35%
0–43%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–210%
1–37%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

LSK Kvinner W or draw
46%
LSK Kvinner W or Brann W
78%
Draw or Brann W
76%

Winning margin

LSK Kvinner W wins by 2+
10%
Brann W wins by 2+
32%

Team goals

LSK Kvinner W 1+ goals
72%
LSK Kvinner W 2+ goals
37%
LSK Kvinner W 3+ goals
14%
Brann W 1+ goals
87%
Brann W 2+ goals
60%
Brann W 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

LSK Kvinner W (draw refunded)
31%
Brann W (draw refunded)
69%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

LSK Kvinner W at home — creates 1.81, concedes 1.33 · 63 matches

Brann W away — creates 2.72, concedes 0.76 · 58 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

LSK Kvinner W attack 1.81 + Brann W defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 1.29

Brann W attack 2.72 + LSK Kvinner W defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 2.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

LSK Kvinner W scores more
24%
level
22%
Brann W scores more
54%

Brann W at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Brann W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • LSK Kvinner W score first in only 18% of matches
  • Brann W score first in only 27% of matches
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (73% and 73% over 2.5)
  • 73% of LSK Kvinner W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • 73% of Brann W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams score in only 27% of Brann W’s matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
DLWWW
W
DWWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

LSK Kvinner W face Brann W (Toppserien)

Toppserien returns with LSK Kvinner W hosting Brann W. Match starts October 31, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

LSK Kvinner W host Brann W at LKS-Hallen.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.