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Longridge Town vs Blackburn — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Longridge Town
Longridge Town
Preview
14:00
Blackburn
Blackburn
7/18/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
87%
Blackburn
model favours
3%9%87%

Longridge Town and Blackburn have never met before

brightest fact of this match

0–3
likely score
67%
over 2.5 goals
36%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Longridge Town3%
×Draw9%
Blackburn87%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Longridge Town
0.48
Blackburn
3.04

Blackburn creates 533% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 7 away

creates per match

Longridge Town
0.25
Blackburn
1.57

allows per match

Longridge Town
4.50
Blackburn
0.71

finishing

Longridge Town+0.00on par
Blackburn+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Longridge Town ↓

Blackburn →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–19%
0–214%
0–314%
0–411%
1
1–01%
1–14%
1–27%
1–37%
1–45%
2
2–00%
2–11%
2–22%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (14%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Longridge Town or draw
13%
Longridge Town or Blackburn
91%
Draw or Blackburn
97%

Winning margin

Longridge Town wins by 2+
1%
Blackburn wins by 2+
69%

Team goals

Longridge Town 1+ goals
38%
Longridge Town 2+ goals
8%
Longridge Town 3+ goals
1%
Blackburn 1+ goals
95%
Blackburn 2+ goals
80%
Blackburn 3+ goals
57%

Draw no bet

Longridge Town (draw refunded)
4%
Blackburn (draw refunded)
96%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Longridge Town at home — creates 0.25, concedes 4.50 · 4 matches

Blackburn away — creates 1.57, concedes 0.71 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Longridge Town attack 0.25 + Blackburn defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 0.48

Blackburn attack 1.57 + Longridge Town defence 4.50 → ÷2 → 3.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 87%?"

Longridge Town scores more
3%
level
9%
Blackburn scores more
87%

Blackburn at 87% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 87% does not mean "Blackburn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Town
LLWD
Blackburn
DLWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Longridge Town face Blackburn (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Longridge Town hosting Blackburn. Match starts July 18, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.