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Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Slovan Bratislava II — 2. liga 2019

Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Preview
13:00
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
10/3/20262. liga2. liga · Round 11
51%
Lokomotíva Zvolen
model favours
51%23%26%
1–1
likely score
57%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Lokomotíva Zvolen51%
×Draw23%
Slovan Bratislava II26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.77
Slovan Bratislava II
1.20

Lokomotíva Zvolen creates 48% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 95 away

creates per match

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47
Slovan Bratislava II
1.03

allows per match

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.37
Slovan Bratislava II
2.08

finishing

Lokomotíva Zvolen+0.00on par
Slovan Bratislava II+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lokomotíva Zvolen ↓

Slovan Bratislava II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Lokomotíva Zvolen or draw
74%
Lokomotíva Zvolen or Slovan Bratislava II
77%
Draw or Slovan Bratislava II
49%

Winning margin

Lokomotíva Zvolen wins by 2+
28%
Slovan Bratislava II wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Lokomotíva Zvolen 1+ goals
83%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 2+ goals
53%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 3+ goals
26%
Slovan Bratislava II 1+ goals
70%
Slovan Bratislava II 2+ goals
34%
Slovan Bratislava II 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Lokomotíva Zvolen (draw refunded)
66%
Slovan Bratislava II (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lokomotíva Zvolen at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.37 · 30 matches

Slovan Bratislava II away — creates 1.03, concedes 2.08 · 95 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lokomotíva Zvolen attack 1.47 + Slovan Bratislava II defence 2.08 → ÷2 → 1.77

Slovan Bratislava II attack 1.03 + Lokomotíva Zvolen defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Lokomotíva Zvolen scores more
51%
level
23%
Slovan Bratislava II scores more
26%

Lokomotíva Zvolen at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Lokomotíva Zvolen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Zvolen
DDLLW
II
LLWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Lokomotíva Zvolen face Slovan Bratislava II (2. liga)

2. liga returns with Lokomotíva Zvolen hosting Slovan Bratislava II. Match starts October 3, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.