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Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Pohronie — 2. liga 2019

Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Preview
14:00
Pohronie
Pohronie
9/5/20262. liga2. liga · Round 7
Big match
45%
Lokomotíva Zvolen
model favours
45%25%31%

Pohronie score first in only 10% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
over 2.5 goals
57%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Lokomotíva Zvolen45%
×Draw25%
Pohronie31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.59
Pohronie
1.27

Lokomotíva Zvolen creates 25% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 58 away

creates per match

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47
Pohronie
1.16

allows per match

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.37
Pohronie
1.71

finishing

Lokomotíva Zvolen+0.00on par
Pohronie+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lokomotíva Zvolen ↓

Pohronie →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Lokomotíva Zvolen or draw
69%
Lokomotíva Zvolen or Pohronie
75%
Draw or Pohronie
55%

Winning margin

Lokomotíva Zvolen wins by 2+
23%
Pohronie wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Lokomotíva Zvolen 1+ goals
80%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 2+ goals
47%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 3+ goals
21%
Pohronie 1+ goals
72%
Pohronie 2+ goals
36%
Pohronie 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Lokomotíva Zvolen (draw refunded)
59%
Pohronie (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lokomotíva Zvolen at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.37 · 30 matches

Pohronie away — creates 1.16, concedes 1.71 · 58 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lokomotíva Zvolen attack 1.47 + Pohronie defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.59

Pohronie attack 1.16 + Lokomotíva Zvolen defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Lokomotíva Zvolen scores more
45%
level
25%
Pohronie scores more
31%

Lokomotíva Zvolen at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Lokomotíva Zvolen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 90% of Pohronie’s matches
  • Pohronie win just 19% against the top half (vs 50% against the bottom)
  • Their last 5 meetings averaged 3.8 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Zvolen
DDLLW
Pohronie
LWLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Pohronie — Match Preview

Lokomotíva Zvolen face Pohronie on September 5, 2026 in this 2. liga fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.