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Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Humenné — 2. liga 2019

Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Preview
13:00
Humenné
Humenné
2/27/20272. liga2. liga · Round 18
44%
Lokomotíva Zvolen
model favours
44%26%29%
1–1
likely score
54%
under 2.5 goals
51%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Lokomotíva Zvolen44%
×Draw26%
Humenné29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.42
Humenné
1.10

Lokomotíva Zvolen creates 29% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 58 away

creates per match

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47
Humenné
0.84

allows per match

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.37
Humenné
1.38

finishing

Lokomotíva Zvolen+0.00on par
Humenné+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lokomotíva Zvolen ↓

Humenné →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Lokomotíva Zvolen or draw
71%
Lokomotíva Zvolen or Humenné
74%
Draw or Humenné
56%

Winning margin

Lokomotíva Zvolen wins by 2+
21%
Humenné wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Lokomotíva Zvolen 1+ goals
76%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 2+ goals
41%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 3+ goals
17%
Humenné 1+ goals
67%
Humenné 2+ goals
30%
Humenné 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Lokomotíva Zvolen (draw refunded)
60%
Humenné (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lokomotíva Zvolen at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.37 · 30 matches

Humenné away — creates 0.84, concedes 1.38 · 58 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lokomotíva Zvolen attack 1.47 + Humenné defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.42

Humenné attack 0.84 + Lokomotíva Zvolen defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Lokomotíva Zvolen scores more
44%
level
26%
Humenné scores more
29%

Lokomotíva Zvolen at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Lokomotíva Zvolen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Zvolen
DDLLW
Humenné
LWWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Lokomotíva Zvolen host Humenné

February 27, 2027: Lokomotíva Zvolen take on Humenné in 2. liga. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.