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Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom — 2. liga 2019

Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Preview
14:30
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
4/24/20272. liga2. liga · Round 27
46%
Lokomotíva Zvolen
model favours
46%25%28%

Lokomotíva Zvolen have won 4 of the last 4 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
50%
over 2.5 goals
54%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Lokomotíva Zvolen46%
×Draw25%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.54
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.15

Lokomotíva Zvolen creates 34% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 15 away

creates per match

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
0.93

allows per match

Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.37
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.60

finishing

Lokomotíva Zvolen+0.00on par
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lokomotíva Zvolen ↓

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Lokomotíva Zvolen or draw
72%
Lokomotíva Zvolen or Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
75%
Draw or Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
54%

Winning margin

Lokomotíva Zvolen wins by 2+
23%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Lokomotíva Zvolen 1+ goals
79%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 2+ goals
45%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 3+ goals
20%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 1+ goals
68%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 2+ goals
32%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Lokomotíva Zvolen (draw refunded)
62%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lokomotíva Zvolen at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.37 · 30 matches

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.60 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lokomotíva Zvolen attack 1.47 + Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.54

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom attack 0.93 + Lokomotíva Zvolen defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Lokomotíva Zvolen scores more
46%
level
25%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom scores more
28%

Lokomotíva Zvolen at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Lokomotíva Zvolen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 3.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Zvolen
DDLLW
p.Vtáčnikom
LDWWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Lokomotíva Zvolen host Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

April 24, 2027: Lokomotíva Zvolen take on Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom in 2. liga. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.