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Lochin vs Yaypan — Pro League A 2026

Lochin
Lochin
Preview
13:00
Yaypan
Yaypan
8/5/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 13
60%
Lochin
model favours
60%21%20%

Lochin and Yaypan have never met before

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
63%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Lochin60%
×Draw21%
Yaypan20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lochin
2.13
Yaypan
1.13

Lochin creates 88% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 4 away

creates per match

Lochin
2.00
Yaypan
1.25

allows per match

Lochin
1.00
Yaypan
2.25

finishing

Lochin+0.00on par
Yaypan+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lochin ↓

Yaypan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Lochin or draw
80%
Lochin or Yaypan
79%
Draw or Yaypan
40%

Winning margin

Lochin wins by 2+
37%
Yaypan wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Lochin 1+ goals
88%
Lochin 2+ goals
63%
Lochin 3+ goals
35%
Yaypan 1+ goals
68%
Yaypan 2+ goals
31%
Yaypan 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Lochin (draw refunded)
75%
Yaypan (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lochin at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

Yaypan away — creates 1.25, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lochin attack 2.00 + Yaypan defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 2.13

Yaypan attack 1.25 + Lochin defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Lochin scores more
60%
level
21%
Yaypan scores more
20%

Lochin at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Lochin will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Lochin
WWWDD
Yaypan
LLWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Lochin face Yaypan (Pro League A)

Pro League A returns with Lochin hosting Yaypan. Match starts August 5, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.