Scoreo

Linlithgow Rose vs Civil Service StrollersLeague #731 2026

45%
Linlithgow Rose
model favours
45%22%33%

Linlithgow Rose score first in only 14% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
71%
over 2.5 goals
70%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Linlithgow Rose45%
×Draw22%
Civil Service Strollers33%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Linlithgow Rose
1.98
Civil Service Strollers
1.68

Linlithgow Rose creates 18% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 4 away

creates per match

Linlithgow Rose
2.45
Civil Service Strollers
2.00

allows per match

Linlithgow Rose
1.36
Civil Service Strollers
1.50

finishing

Linlithgow Rose+0.00on par
Civil Service Strollers+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Linlithgow Rose

Civil Service Strollers
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
014%
024%
032%
041%
1
105%
119%
127%
134%
142%
2
205%
219%
227%
234%
242%
3
303%
316%
325%
333%
341%
4
402%
413%
422%
431%
441%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Linlithgow Rose or draw
67%
Linlithgow Rose or Civil Service Strollers
78%
Draw or Civil Service Strollers
55%

Winning margin

Linlithgow Rose wins by 2+
25%
Civil Service Strollers wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Linlithgow Rose 1+ goals
86%
Linlithgow Rose 2+ goals
59%
Linlithgow Rose 3+ goals
31%
Civil Service Strollers 1+ goals
81%
Civil Service Strollers 2+ goals
50%
Civil Service Strollers 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Linlithgow Rose (draw refunded)
58%
Civil Service Strollers (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Linlithgow Rose at homecreates 2.45, concedes 1.36 · 11 matches

Civil Service Strollers awaycreates 2.00, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Linlithgow Rose attack 2.45 + Civil Service Strollers defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.98

Civil Service Strollers attack 2.00 + Linlithgow Rose defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Linlithgow Rose scores more
45%
level
22%
Civil Service Strollers scores more
33%

Linlithgow Rose at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Linlithgow Rose will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 68% of Linlithgow Rose’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Linlithgow Rose sit 1, Civil Service Strollers 12 in the table

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Rose
LLLWD
Strollers
DLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Linlithgow Rose host Civil Service Strollers

July 25, 2026: Linlithgow Rose take on Civil Service Strollers in League #731. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.