Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Linköping W vs Trelleborg W — Elitettan 2021

Linköping W
Linköping W
Preview
14:00
Trelleborg W
Trelleborg W
10/31/2026ElitettanElitettan · Round 24
55%
Linköping W
model favours
55%22%23%

Trelleborg W win just 40% against the top half (vs 81% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Linköping W55%
×Draw22%
Trelleborg W23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Linköping W
1.92
Trelleborg W
1.17

Linköping W creates 64% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 31 away

creates per match

Linköping W
2.40
Trelleborg W
1.74

allows per match

Linköping W
0.60
Trelleborg W
1.45

finishing

Linköping W+0.00on par
Trelleborg W+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Linköping W ↓

Trelleborg W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Linköping W or draw
77%
Linköping W or Trelleborg W
78%
Draw or Trelleborg W
45%

Winning margin

Linköping W wins by 2+
32%
Trelleborg W wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Linköping W 1+ goals
85%
Linköping W 2+ goals
57%
Linköping W 3+ goals
30%
Trelleborg W 1+ goals
69%
Trelleborg W 2+ goals
33%
Trelleborg W 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Linköping W (draw refunded)
70%
Trelleborg W (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Linköping W at home — creates 2.40, concedes 0.60 · 5 matches

Trelleborg W away — creates 1.74, concedes 1.45 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Linköping W attack 2.40 + Trelleborg W defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.92

Trelleborg W attack 1.74 + Linköping W defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Linköping W scores more
55%
level
22%
Trelleborg W scores more
23%

Linköping W at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Linköping W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
W
WWWWW
W
LWWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Linköping W face Trelleborg W (Elitettan)

Elitettan returns with Linköping W hosting Trelleborg W. Match starts October 31, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.