Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Linköping W vs Örebro SK W — Elitettan 2021

Linköping W
Linköping W
Preview
17:30
Örebro SK W
Örebro SK W
7/31/2026ElitettanElitettan · Round 12
65%
Linköping W
model favours
65%20%15%

Örebro SK W win just 18% against the top half (vs 57% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

2–0
likely score
55%
over 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Linköping W65%
×Draw20%
Örebro SK W15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Linköping W
2.05
Örebro SK W
0.86

Linköping W creates 138% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 31 away

creates per match

Linköping W
2.40
Örebro SK W
1.13

allows per match

Linköping W
0.60
Örebro SK W
1.71

finishing

Linköping W+0.00on par
Örebro SK W+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Linköping W ↓

Örebro SK W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (12%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Linköping W or draw
85%
Linköping W or Örebro SK W
80%
Draw or Örebro SK W
35%

Winning margin

Linköping W wins by 2+
40%
Örebro SK W wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Linköping W 1+ goals
87%
Linköping W 2+ goals
61%
Linköping W 3+ goals
33%
Örebro SK W 1+ goals
58%
Örebro SK W 2+ goals
21%
Örebro SK W 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Linköping W (draw refunded)
81%
Örebro SK W (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Linköping W at home — creates 2.40, concedes 0.60 · 5 matches

Örebro SK W away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.71 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Linköping W attack 2.40 + Örebro SK W defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 2.05

Örebro SK W attack 1.13 + Linköping W defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Linköping W scores more
65%
level
20%
Örebro SK W scores more
15%

Linköping W at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Linköping W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
W
WWWWW
W
WLDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Linköping W vs Örebro SK W — Match Preview

Linköping W face Örebro SK W on July 31, 2026 in this Elitettan fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.