Scoreo

Linköping W vs Enskede WElitettan 2021

60%
Linköping W
model favours
60%21%20%

Linköping W and Enskede W have never met before

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
63%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Linköping W60%
×Draw21%
Enskede W20%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Linköping W
2.12
Enskede W
1.14

Linköping W creates 86% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

creates per match

Linköping W
2.40
Enskede W
1.67

allows per match

Linköping W
0.60
Enskede W
1.83

finishing

Linköping W+0.00on par
Enskede W+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Linköping W

Enskede W
0
1
2
3
4
0
004%
014%
023%
031%
040%
1
108%
119%
125%
132%
141%
2
209%
2110%
226%
232%
241%
3
306%
317%
324%
332%
340%
4
403%
414%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Linköping W or draw
80%
Linköping W or Enskede W
79%
Draw or Enskede W
40%

Winning margin

Linköping W wins by 2+
37%
Enskede W wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Linköping W 1+ goals
88%
Linköping W 2+ goals
62%
Linköping W 3+ goals
35%
Enskede W 1+ goals
68%
Enskede W 2+ goals
32%
Enskede W 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Linköping W (draw refunded)
75%
Enskede W (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Linköping W at homecreates 2.40, concedes 0.60 · 5 matches

Enskede W awaycreates 1.67, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Linköping W attack 2.40 + Enskede W defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 2.12

Enskede W attack 1.67 + Linköping W defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Linköping W scores more
60%
level
21%
Enskede W scores more
20%

Linköping W at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Linköping W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
W
WWWWW
W
WWLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Linköping W host Enskede W

August 23, 2026: Linköping W take on Enskede W in Elitettan. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.