Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United — League One 2018

Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient
Preview
15:00
Cambridge United
Cambridge United
10/31/2026League OneLeague One · Round 14Brisbane Road
Big match
49%
Leyton Orient
model favours
49%26%25%

80% of Leyton Orient’s matches go over 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
53%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 79+ matches

Leyton Orient49%
×Draw26%
Cambridge United25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Leyton Orient
1.54
Cambridge United
1.03

Leyton Orient creates 50% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 92 away

creates per match

Leyton Orient
1.30
Cambridge United
0.89

allows per match

Leyton Orient
1.18
Cambridge United
1.78

finishing

Leyton Orient+0.00on par
Cambridge United+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Leyton Orient ↓

Cambridge United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
47%53%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Leyton Orient or draw
75%
Leyton Orient or Cambridge United
74%
Draw or Cambridge United
51%

Winning margin

Leyton Orient wins by 2+
25%
Cambridge United wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Leyton Orient 1+ goals
79%
Leyton Orient 2+ goals
45%
Leyton Orient 3+ goals
20%
Cambridge United 1+ goals
64%
Cambridge United 2+ goals
28%
Cambridge United 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Leyton Orient (draw refunded)
66%
Cambridge United (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Leyton Orient at home — creates 1.30, concedes 1.18 · 79 matches

Cambridge United away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.78 · 92 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Leyton Orient attack 1.30 + Cambridge United defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.54

Cambridge United attack 0.89 + Leyton Orient defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Leyton Orient scores more
49%
level
26%
Cambridge United scores more
25%

Leyton Orient at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Leyton Orient will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Leyton Orient score first in only 30% of matches
  • Leyton Orient have scored in 7 games running
  • Leyton Orient have won 6 of the last 8 meetings
  • Both teams score in 70% of Leyton Orient’s matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Leyton Orient
Balanced
Cambridge United
Direct / counter-attacking
53%PossessionBiggest gap44%
71%Pass accuracy66%
11.3Shots10.9
1.12xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Leyton OrientCambridge United

Head-to-head

8 previous meetings

6
Leyton Orient
0
Draws
2
Cambridge United
Avg goals: 3.3BTTS: 63%
2–12–02–02–02–4

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Orient
LLWWD
United
WWDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Leyton Orient face Cambridge United (League One)

League One returns with Leyton Orient hosting Cambridge United. Match starts October 31, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Leyton Orient host Cambridge United at Brisbane Road.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.