Levante 2–0 Valladolid: Result & Stats | La Liga

Levante

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Valladolid

Roger Martí 90+5'

Coke 42'

1/20/2019

La Liga · Round 20Ciutat de València

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 82+ matches

Levante46%

×Draw26%

Valladolid28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.4%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.4% correct across 574,295 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LevanteExpected goals in this matchValladolid

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.52

1.13

Levante

1.52

Valladolid

1.13

Levante creates 35% more chances

Season form · 97 home / 82 away

1.49

creates per match

0.78

1.47

allows per match

1.55

creates per match

Levante

1.49

Valladolid

0.78

allows per match

Levante

1.47

Valladolid

1.55

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Levante+0.00on par

Valladolid+0.00on par

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levante ↓

Valladolid →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Levante or draw

72%

Levante or Valladolid

74%

Draw or Valladolid

54%

Winning margin

Levante wins by 2+

23%

Valladolid wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Levante 1+ goals

78%

Levante 2+ goals

45%

Levante 3+ goals

20%

Valladolid 1+ goals

68%

Valladolid 2+ goals

31%

Valladolid 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Levante (draw refunded)

62%

Valladolid (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Levante at home — creates 1.49, concedes 1.47 · 97 matches

Valladolid away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.55 · 82 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Levante attack 1.49 + Valladolid defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.52

Valladolid attack 0.78 + Levante defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Levante scores more

46%

level

26%

Valladolid scores more

28%

Levante at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Levante will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

12

Coke

Levante · D

8.2

Match Events

14'

15'

40'

42'

55'

61'

63'

64'

Keko← Javi Moyano

76'

N. Vukčević← E. Bardhi

78'

Borja

83'

Roger Martí← Borja Mayoral

83'

87'

90'

90'

90'

90'

90+2'

Fran Manzanara← Rubén Rochina

90+5'

Roger Martí↳ Toño

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LevanteValladolid

Overview

48%Possession52%

13Total Shots12

3Corners2

12Fouls18

Shots

13Total Shots12

4On Target3

6Off Target7

3Blocked2

11Inside Box8

2Outside Box4

Passing

48%Possession52%

331Total Passes348

257Accurate Passes256

78%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

12Fouls18

6Yellow Cards5

0Red Cards0

2Offsides2

La Liga: Levante 2–0 Valladolid

Levante beat Valladolid 2-0 in La Liga on January 20, 2019.

Goals: Coke (42'), Roger Martí (90+5').

Valladolid controlled possession (52%) and registered 12 shots to 13.

The match was played at Ciutat de València in Valencia.

Levante vs Valladolid — La Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

La Liga: Levante 2–0 Valladolid