Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Levante vs Getafe — La Liga 2026

Levante
Levante
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Getafe
Getafe
10/16/2021La LigaLa Liga · Round 9Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 19+ matches

Levante45%
×Draw26%
Getafe30%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Levante
1.50
Getafe
1.18

Levante creates 27% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 34 away

creates per match

Levante
1.58
Getafe
0.89

allows per match

Levante
1.47
Getafe
1.43

finishing

Levante-0.21scores less
Getafe-0.15scores less

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levante ↓

Getafe →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Levante or draw
70%
Levante or Getafe
74%
Draw or Getafe
55%

Winning margin

Levante wins by 2+
22%
Getafe wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Levante 1+ goals
78%
Levante 2+ goals
44%
Levante 3+ goals
19%
Getafe 1+ goals
69%
Getafe 2+ goals
33%
Getafe 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Levante (draw refunded)
60%
Getafe (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Levante at home — creates 1.58, concedes 1.47 · 19 matches

Getafe away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.43 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Levante attack 1.58 + Getafe defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.50

Getafe attack 0.89 + Levante defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Levante scores more
45%
level
26%
Getafe scores more
30%

Levante at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Levante will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

La Liga: Levante 0–0 Getafe

Levante and Getafe drew 0-0 in La Liga on October 16, 2021.

The match was played at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in Valencia.