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Levanger vs Ull/Kisa — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Levanger
Levanger
Preview
12:00
Ull/Kisa
Ull/Kisa
7/25/20262. Division - Group 22. Division - Group 2 · Round 13Tobb Arena Levanger
Big match
48%
Levanger
model favours
48%22%30%

100% of Ull/Kisa’s matches go over 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
68%
over 2.5 goals
68%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

Levanger48%
×Draw22%
Ull/Kisa30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Levanger
1.98
Ull/Kisa
1.55

Levanger creates 28% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 58 away

creates per match

Levanger
2.35
Ull/Kisa
1.83

allows per match

Levanger
1.27
Ull/Kisa
1.60

finishing

Levanger+0.00on par
Ull/Kisa+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levanger ↓

Ull/Kisa →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Levanger or draw
70%
Levanger or Ull/Kisa
78%
Draw or Ull/Kisa
52%

Winning margin

Levanger wins by 2+
27%
Ull/Kisa wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Levanger 1+ goals
86%
Levanger 2+ goals
59%
Levanger 3+ goals
31%
Ull/Kisa 1+ goals
79%
Ull/Kisa 2+ goals
46%
Ull/Kisa 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Levanger (draw refunded)
61%
Ull/Kisa (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Levanger at home — creates 2.35, concedes 1.27 · 63 matches

Ull/Kisa away — creates 1.83, concedes 1.60 · 58 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Levanger attack 2.35 + Ull/Kisa defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.98

Ull/Kisa attack 1.83 + Levanger defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Levanger scores more
48%
level
22%
Ull/Kisa scores more
30%

Levanger at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Levanger will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Ull/Kisa score first in only 17% of matches
  • Both teams score in 83% of Ull/Kisa’s matches
  • Ull/Kisa win just 31% against the top half (vs 61% against the bottom)
  • Levanger sit 2, Ull/Kisa 12 in the table
  • Their last 8 meetings averaged 4 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Levanger
WWWWL
Ull/Kisa
LLWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Levanger host Ull/Kisa

July 25, 2026: Levanger take on Ull/Kisa in 2. Division - Group 2. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Levanger host Ull/Kisa at Tobb Arena Levanger.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.