Scoreo

Landskrona BoIS vs SandvikenSuperettan 2026

Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS
FT
40
HT: 20
Sandviken
Sandviken
K. Asare 62', 31', 14'
F. Ihler 57'
3/31/2024SuperettanSuperettan · Round 1Landskrona Idrottsplats

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Landskrona BoIS47%
×Draw24%
Sandviken29%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Landskrona BoIS
1.67
Sandviken
1.27

Landskrona BoIS creates 31% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 8 away

creates per match

Landskrona BoIS
1.68
Sandviken
1.26

allows per match

Landskrona BoIS
1.28
Sandviken
1.67

finishing

Landskrona BoIS-0.21scores less
Sandviken-0.13scores less

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Landskrona BoIS

Sandviken
0
1
2
3
4
0
005%
017%
024%
032%
041%
1
109%
1111%
127%
133%
141%
2
207%
219%
226%
233%
241%
3
304%
315%
323%
331%
340%
4
402%
412%
421%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Landskrona BoIS or draw
71%
Landskrona BoIS or Sandviken
76%
Draw or Sandviken
53%

Winning margin

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+
25%
Sandviken wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals
81%
Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals
50%
Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals
23%
Sandviken 1+ goals
72%
Sandviken 2+ goals
36%
Sandviken 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)
62%
Sandviken (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Landskrona BoIS at homecreates 1.68, concedes 1.28 · 17 matches

Sandviken awaycreates 1.26, concedes 1.67 · 8 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.68 + Sandviken defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.67

Sandviken attack 1.26 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Landskrona BoIS scores more
47%
level
24%
Sandviken scores more
29%

Landskrona BoIS at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

47
K. AsareLandskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS · F
9.5

Possession

44%Landskrona

Shots

13Landskrona

Pass accuracy

49%Landskrona

Statistics

LandskronaSandviken
Overview
44%Possession56%
13Total Shots9
2.34Expected Goals (xG)0.86
2Corners4
27Fouls8
Shots
13Total Shots9
6On Target2
1Off Target3
5Blocked4
10Inside Box6
3Outside Box3
Passing
44%Possession56%
363Total Passes388
299Accurate Passes324
82%Pass Accuracy84%
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
Discipline
27Fouls8
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Offsides0

Match Recap: Landskrona BoIS vs Sandviken

Landskrona BoIS beat Sandviken 4-0 in Superettan on March 31, 2024.

Goals: K. Asare (14', 31', 62'), F. Ihler (57').

Sandviken controlled possession (56%) and registered 9 shots to 13.

The match was played at Landskrona Idrottsplats in Landskrona.