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Kvik Halden vs Træff — 2. Division - Group 1 2025

Kvik Halden
Kvik Halden
Preview
11:00
Træff
Træff
7/26/20262. Division - Group 12. Division - Group 1 · Round 13Halden Stadion
55%
Kvik Halden
model favours
55%23%22%

Kvik Halden and Træff have never met before

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
over 2.5 goals
55%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Kvik Halden55%
×Draw23%
Træff22%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kvik Halden
1.83
Træff
1.06

Kvik Halden creates 73% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 19 away

creates per match

Kvik Halden
1.71
Træff
1.11

allows per match

Kvik Halden
1.00
Træff
1.95

finishing

Kvik Halden+0.00on par
Træff+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kvik Halden ↓

Træff →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Kvik Halden or draw
78%
Kvik Halden or Træff
77%
Draw or Træff
45%

Winning margin

Kvik Halden wins by 2+
31%
Træff wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Kvik Halden 1+ goals
84%
Kvik Halden 2+ goals
54%
Kvik Halden 3+ goals
28%
Træff 1+ goals
65%
Træff 2+ goals
29%
Træff 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Kvik Halden (draw refunded)
72%
Træff (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kvik Halden at home — creates 1.71, concedes 1.00 · 7 matches

Træff away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.95 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kvik Halden attack 1.71 + Træff defence 1.95 → ÷2 → 1.83

Træff attack 1.11 + Kvik Halden defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Kvik Halden scores more
55%
level
23%
Træff scores more
22%

Kvik Halden at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Kvik Halden will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Halden
WWDWL
Træff
WLLDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Kvik Halden host Træff

July 26, 2026: Kvik Halden take on Træff in 2. Division - Group 1. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Kvik Halden host Træff at Halden Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.