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Kristianstad W vs Vittsjö W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Kristianstad W
Kristianstad W
Preview
11:00
Vittsjö W
Vittsjö W
9/26/2026DamallsvenskanDamallsvenskan · Round 20Kristianstad Arena
Big match
64%
Kristianstad W
model favours
64%20%16%

Vittsjö W are unbeaten in 6 straight

brightest fact of this match

2–0
likely score
58%
over 2.5 goals
53%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Kristianstad W64%
×Draw20%
Vittsjö W16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kristianstad W
2.10
Vittsjö W
0.92

Kristianstad W creates 128% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 7 away

creates per match

Kristianstad W
2.22
Vittsjö W
0.73

allows per match

Kristianstad W
1.10
Vittsjö W
1.99

finishing

Kristianstad W-0.08on par
Vittsjö W+0.13scores more

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kristianstad W ↓

Vittsjö W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Kristianstad W or draw
84%
Kristianstad W or Vittsjö W
80%
Draw or Vittsjö W
36%

Winning margin

Kristianstad W wins by 2+
40%
Vittsjö W wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Kristianstad W 1+ goals
88%
Kristianstad W 2+ goals
62%
Kristianstad W 3+ goals
35%
Vittsjö W 1+ goals
60%
Vittsjö W 2+ goals
23%
Vittsjö W 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Kristianstad W (draw refunded)
81%
Vittsjö W (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kristianstad W at home — creates 2.22, concedes 1.10 · 7 matches

Vittsjö W away — creates 0.73, concedes 1.99 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kristianstad W attack 2.22 + Vittsjö W defence 1.99 → ÷2 → 2.10

Vittsjö W attack 0.73 + Kristianstad W defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Kristianstad W scores more
64%
level
20%
Vittsjö W scores more
16%

Kristianstad W at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Kristianstad W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Vittsjö W score first in only 27% of matches
  • Vittsjö W have scored in 9 games running
  • Both teams score in 82% of Vittsjö W’s matches
  • Style contrast — Kristianstad W play Attack-heavy, Vittsjö W Direct / counter-attacking
  • Kristianstad W outscore their xG (2.2 vs 1.9 expected)
  • Vittsjö W win just 22% against the top half (vs 55% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Kristianstad W
Attack-heavy
Vittsjö W
Direct / counter-attacking
54%Possession43%
77%Pass accuracy69%
13.8Shots8.8
1.85xGBiggest gap0.91
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Kristianstad WVittsjö W

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

5
Kristianstad W
4
Draws
1
Vittsjö W
Avg goals: 2.3BTTS: 50%
1–12–13–21–00–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
LWDLL
W
DWDLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Kristianstad W face Vittsjö W (Damallsvenskan)

Damallsvenskan returns with Kristianstad W hosting Vittsjö W. Match starts September 26, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Kristianstad W host Vittsjö W at Kristianstad Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.