Kraft 1–3 VIFK: Result & Stats | Kakkonen - Lohko C

Kraft

FT

1 – 3

HT: 1 – 2

VIFK

S. Isanović 36'

M. Silvennoinen 83'

F. Hiekkanen 45', 19'

9/5/2021

Kakkonen - Lohko C · Group C - 11Mosedal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Kraft47%

×Draw22%

VIFK31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KraftExpected goals in this matchVIFK

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.94

1.56

Kraft

1.94

VIFK

1.56

Kraft creates 24% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 72 away

1.90

creates per match

1.36

1.76

allows per match

1.97

creates per match

Kraft

1.90

VIFK

1.36

allows per match

Kraft

1.76

VIFK

1.97

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Kraft+0.00on par

VIFK+0.00on par

Total goals

Over68
Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes68
No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kraft ↓

VIFK →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

68%32%3.5

46%54%4.5

27%73%

Double chance

Kraft or draw

69%

Kraft or VIFK

78%

Draw or VIFK

53%

Winning margin

Kraft wins by 2+

26%

VIFK wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Kraft 1+ goals

86%

Kraft 2+ goals

58%

Kraft 3+ goals

30%

VIFK 1+ goals

79%

VIFK 2+ goals

46%

VIFK 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

Kraft (draw refunded)

60%

VIFK (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

58%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kraft at home — creates 1.90, concedes 1.76 · 68 matches

VIFK away — creates 1.36, concedes 1.97 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kraft attack 1.90 + VIFK defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.94

VIFK attack 1.36 + Kraft defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Kraft scores more

47%

level

22%

VIFK scores more

31%

Kraft at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Kraft will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

3'

9'

15'

19'

33'

36'

45'

53'

V. Villfor

70'

H. Hiekkanen← V. Villför

71'

S. Storgeust← R. Krook

78'

A. Macomba← V. Laine

81'

M. Silvennoinen← E. Igboeri

83'

M. Silvennoinen

88'

A. Macomba

90+2'

N. Ali← F. Hiekkanen

Kraft

VIFK

12

Maloney

17

Puska

26

Indutnyi

32

▼

11

7

5

9

10

25

⚽2

▼

Hiekkanen

8

▼

31

11

6

4

3

13

7

30

⚽

Isanović

8

Sigg

21

▼

Krook

23

▼

Laine

Manager: P. Sundlin

71'▲S. Storgeust←▼R. Krook

78'▲A. Macomba←▼V. Laine

Kraft substitutes

14Storgeust5Macomba1Norrgård19Westerholm25Enlund27Rönnholm28Byggnings

Manager: M. Peltonen

70'▲H. Hiekkanen←▼V. Villför

81'▲M. Silvennoinen←▼E. Igboeri

90+2'▲N. Ali←▼F. Hiekkanen

VIFK substitutes

2Hiekkanen30Silvennoinen27Ali23Sundqvist16Järv29Rabb1Kaarre

Kakkonen - Lohko C: Kraft 1–3 VIFK

VIFK beat Kraft 3-1 in Kakkonen - Lohko C on September 5, 2021.

Goals: F. Hiekkanen (19', 45'), S. Isanović (36'), M. Silvennoinen (83').

The match was played at Mosedal in Närpes.

Kraft vs VIFK — Kakkonen - Lohko C 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Kakkonen - Lohko C: Kraft 1–3 VIFK