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Kosovo W vs Austria W — World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe 2027

Kosovo W
Kosovo W
Preview
13:00
Austria W
Austria W
10/7/2026World Cup - Women - Qualification EuropeWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Semi-finals
Big match
79%
Kosovo W
model favours
79%14%7%

Austria W score first in only 18% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–0
likely score
64%
over 2.5 goals
45%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Kosovo W79%
×Draw14%
Austria W7%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kosovo W
2.67
Austria W
0.67

Kosovo W creates 299% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

Kosovo W
2.67
Austria W
0.67

allows per match

Kosovo W
0.67
Austria W
2.67

finishing

Kosovo W+0.00on par
Austria W+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kosovo W ↓

Austria W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–16%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–011%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–08%
4–15%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (13%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Kosovo W or draw
93%
Kosovo W or Austria W
86%
Draw or Austria W
21%

Winning margin

Kosovo W wins by 2+
58%
Austria W wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Kosovo W 1+ goals
93%
Kosovo W 2+ goals
74%
Kosovo W 3+ goals
49%
Austria W 1+ goals
49%
Austria W 2+ goals
15%
Austria W 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Kosovo W (draw refunded)
92%
Austria W (draw refunded)
8%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kosovo W at home — creates 2.67, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

Austria W away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kosovo W attack 2.67 + Austria W defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.67

Austria W attack 0.67 + Kosovo W defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 79%?"

Kosovo W scores more
79%
level
14%
Austria W scores more
7%

Kosovo W at 79% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 79% does not mean "Kosovo W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Kosovo W score first in only 20% of matches
  • 70% of Kosovo W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams score in only 30% of Kosovo W’s matches
  • Top-of-the-table clash — Kosovo W 1 vs Austria W 3
  • Kosovo W and Austria W have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WLWWW
W
LWDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Kosovo W vs Austria W — Match Preview

Kosovo W face Austria W on October 7, 2026 in this World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.