Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Kornburg vs Würzburger FV — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Kornburg
Kornburg
Preview
17:00
Würzburger FV
Würzburger FV
4/23/2027Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 29
Big match
51%
Kornburg
model favours
51%23%26%

Kornburg win just 22% against the top half (vs 54% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
58%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Kornburg51%
×Draw23%
Würzburger FV26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kornburg
1.81
Würzburger FV
1.23

Kornburg creates 47% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 68 away

creates per match

Kornburg
1.62
Würzburger FV
1.31

allows per match

Kornburg
1.16
Würzburger FV
2.00

finishing

Kornburg+0.00on par
Würzburger FV+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kornburg ↓

Würzburger FV →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Kornburg or draw
74%
Kornburg or Würzburger FV
77%
Draw or Würzburger FV
49%

Winning margin

Kornburg wins by 2+
28%
Würzburger FV wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Kornburg 1+ goals
84%
Kornburg 2+ goals
54%
Kornburg 3+ goals
27%
Würzburger FV 1+ goals
71%
Würzburger FV 2+ goals
35%
Würzburger FV 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Kornburg (draw refunded)
66%
Würzburger FV (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kornburg at home — creates 1.62, concedes 1.16 · 68 matches

Würzburger FV away — creates 1.31, concedes 2.00 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kornburg attack 1.62 + Würzburger FV defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.81

Würzburger FV attack 1.31 + Kornburg defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Kornburg scores more
51%
level
23%
Würzburger FV scores more
26%

Kornburg at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Kornburg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Kornburg
LLLLD
FV
DLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Kornburg face Würzburger FV (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)

Oberliga - Bayern Nord returns with Kornburg hosting Würzburger FV. Match starts April 23, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.