Koblenz U19 vs Werder Bremen U19 — DFB Junioren Pokal 2020
DFB Junioren Pokal · Round of 64
Koblenz U19 and Werder Bremen U19 have never met before
brightest fact of this match
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 3+ matches
Koblenz U1911%Werder Bremen U1977%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Werder Bremen U19 creates 164% more chances
Season form · 3 home / 5 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over88
- Under12
3+ goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes74
- No26
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Koblenz U19 ↓
Most likely 1–3 (8%) · grid covers 72% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Koblenz U19 at home — creates 0.67, concedes 4.00 · 3 matches
Werder Bremen U19 away — creates 3.60, concedes 2.20 · 5 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Koblenz U19 attack 0.67 + Werder Bremen U19 defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 1.44
Werder Bremen U19 attack 3.60 + Koblenz U19 defence 4.00 → ÷2 → 3.80
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 77%?"
Werder Bremen U19 at 77% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 77% does not mean "Werder Bremen U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
No previous meetings found
Koblenz U19 host Werder Bremen U19 on Sunday, 2 August 2026 at 10:00. The match is part of the DFB Junioren Pokal 2020/2021 season.
Preview: Koblenz U19 host Werder Bremen U19
August 2, 2026: Koblenz U19 take on Werder Bremen U19 in DFB Junioren Pokal. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.