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Klepp W vs Frigg Oslo FK W — 1. Division Women 2022

Klepp W
Klepp W
Preview
11:30
Frigg Oslo FK W
Frigg Oslo FK W
8/23/20261. Division Women1. Division Women · Round 15
56%
Klepp W
model favours
56%22%22%
1–1
likely score
62%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Klepp W56%
×Draw22%
Frigg Oslo FK W22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Klepp W
2.00
Frigg Oslo FK W
1.19

Klepp W creates 68% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 6 away

creates per match

Klepp W
1.33
Frigg Oslo FK W
0.00

allows per match

Klepp W
2.37
Frigg Oslo FK W
2.67

finishing

Klepp W+0.00on par
Frigg Oslo FK W+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Klepp W ↓

Frigg Oslo FK W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Klepp W or draw
78%
Klepp W or Frigg Oslo FK W
78%
Draw or Frigg Oslo FK W
44%

Winning margin

Klepp W wins by 2+
33%
Frigg Oslo FK W wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Klepp W 1+ goals
86%
Klepp W 2+ goals
59%
Klepp W 3+ goals
32%
Frigg Oslo FK W 1+ goals
70%
Frigg Oslo FK W 2+ goals
33%
Frigg Oslo FK W 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Klepp W (draw refunded)
71%
Frigg Oslo FK W (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Klepp W at home — creates 1.33, concedes 2.37 · 30 matches

Frigg Oslo FK W away — creates 0.00, concedes 2.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Klepp W attack 1.33 + Frigg Oslo FK W defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.00

Frigg Oslo FK W attack 0.00 + Klepp W defence 2.37 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Klepp W scores more
56%
level
22%
Frigg Oslo FK W scores more
22%

Klepp W at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Klepp W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
W
LLLWL
W
LLLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Klepp W host Frigg Oslo FK W

August 23, 2026: Klepp W take on Frigg Oslo FK W in 1. Division Women. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.