Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Klatovy vs Sokol Čížová — 4. liga - Divizie A 2019

Klatovy
Klatovy
PST
15:00
Sokol Čížová
Sokol Čížová
5/31/20204. liga - Divizie A4. liga - Divizie A · Round 28Stadion Na Rozvoji (Klatovy)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Klatovy53%
×Draw23%
Sokol Čížová24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Klatovy
1.80
Sokol Čížová
1.12

Klatovy creates 61% more chances

Season form · 57 home / 7 away

creates per match

Klatovy
1.89
Sokol Čížová
0.71

allows per match

Klatovy
1.53
Sokol Čížová
1.71

finishing

Klatovy+0.00on par
Sokol Čížová+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Klatovy ↓

Sokol Čížová →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Klatovy or draw
76%
Klatovy or Sokol Čížová
77%
Draw or Sokol Čížová
47%

Winning margin

Klatovy wins by 2+
30%
Sokol Čížová wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Klatovy 1+ goals
83%
Klatovy 2+ goals
54%
Klatovy 3+ goals
27%
Sokol Čížová 1+ goals
67%
Sokol Čížová 2+ goals
31%
Sokol Čížová 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Klatovy (draw refunded)
69%
Sokol Čížová (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Klatovy at home — creates 1.89, concedes 1.53 · 57 matches

Sokol Čížová away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.71 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Klatovy attack 1.89 + Sokol Čížová defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.80

Sokol Čížová attack 0.71 + Klatovy defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Klatovy scores more
53%
level
23%
Sokol Čížová scores more
24%

Klatovy at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Klatovy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Klatovy vs Sokol Čížová — Match Preview

Klatovy face Sokol Čížová on May 31, 2020 in this 4. liga - Divizie A fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Klatovy host Sokol Čížová at Stadion Na Rozvoji (Klatovy).

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.