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King's Lynn Town vs Scarborough Athletic — League #50 2026

King's Lynn Town
King's Lynn Town
Preview
14:00
Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough Athletic
8/31/2026League #50League #50 · National League North - 6
62%
King's Lynn Town
model favours
62%22%16%

King's Lynn Town sit 9, Scarborough Athletic 21 in the table

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
49%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

King's Lynn Town62%
×Draw22%
Scarborough Athletic16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

King's Lynn Town
1.92
Scarborough Athletic
0.86

King's Lynn Town creates 123% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 5 away

creates per match

King's Lynn Town
1.83
Scarborough Athletic
0.40

allows per match

King's Lynn Town
1.33
Scarborough Athletic
2.00

finishing

King's Lynn Town+0.00on par
Scarborough Athletic+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

King's Lynn Town ↓

Scarborough Athletic →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

King's Lynn Town or draw
84%
King's Lynn Town or Scarborough Athletic
78%
Draw or Scarborough Athletic
38%

Winning margin

King's Lynn Town wins by 2+
37%
Scarborough Athletic wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

King's Lynn Town 1+ goals
85%
King's Lynn Town 2+ goals
57%
King's Lynn Town 3+ goals
30%
Scarborough Athletic 1+ goals
58%
Scarborough Athletic 2+ goals
21%
Scarborough Athletic 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

King's Lynn Town (draw refunded)
79%
Scarborough Athletic (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

King's Lynn Town at home — creates 1.83, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

Scarborough Athletic away — creates 0.40, concedes 2.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

King's Lynn Town attack 1.83 + Scarborough Athletic defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.92

Scarborough Athletic attack 0.40 + King's Lynn Town defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

King's Lynn Town scores more
62%
level
22%
Scarborough Athletic scores more
16%

King's Lynn Town at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "King's Lynn Town will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • King's Lynn Town and Scarborough Athletic have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Town
LWLWD
Athletic
DDLLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

King's Lynn Town face Scarborough Athletic (League #50)

League #50 returns with King's Lynn Town hosting Scarborough Athletic. Match starts August 31, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.