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King's Lynn Town vs Radcliffe — League #50 2026

King's Lynn Town
King's Lynn Town
Preview
19:45
Radcliffe
Radcliffe
11/24/2026League #50League #50 · National League North - 18
58%
King's Lynn Town
model favours
58%24%18%

70% of Radcliffe’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
56%
under 2.5 goals
44%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

King's Lynn Town58%
×Draw24%
Radcliffe18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

King's Lynn Town
1.67
Radcliffe
0.79

King's Lynn Town creates 111% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 4 away

creates per match

King's Lynn Town
1.83
Radcliffe
0.25

allows per match

King's Lynn Town
1.33
Radcliffe
1.50

finishing

King's Lynn Town+0.00on par
Radcliffe+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

King's Lynn Town ↓

Radcliffe →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

King's Lynn Town or draw
82%
King's Lynn Town or Radcliffe
76%
Draw or Radcliffe
42%

Winning margin

King's Lynn Town wins by 2+
32%
Radcliffe wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

King's Lynn Town 1+ goals
81%
King's Lynn Town 2+ goals
50%
King's Lynn Town 3+ goals
23%
Radcliffe 1+ goals
55%
Radcliffe 2+ goals
19%
Radcliffe 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

King's Lynn Town (draw refunded)
77%
Radcliffe (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

King's Lynn Town at home — creates 1.83, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

Radcliffe away — creates 0.25, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

King's Lynn Town attack 1.83 + Radcliffe defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.67

Radcliffe attack 0.25 + King's Lynn Town defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 0.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

King's Lynn Town scores more
58%
level
24%
Radcliffe scores more
18%

King's Lynn Town at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "King's Lynn Town will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • King's Lynn Town sit 9, Radcliffe 23 in the table
  • King's Lynn Town and Radcliffe have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Town
LWLWD
Radcliffe
DDLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

King's Lynn Town vs Radcliffe — Match Preview

King's Lynn Town face Radcliffe on November 24, 2026 in this League #50 fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.