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KIF Örebro W vs Örebro SK W — Elitettan 2021

KIF Örebro W
KIF Örebro W
Preview
11:00
Örebro SK W
Örebro SK W
8/15/2026ElitettanElitettan · Round 14Behrn Arena
54%
KIF Örebro W
model favours
54%22%24%

KIF Örebro W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
63%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

KIF Örebro W54%
×Draw22%
Örebro SK W24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

KIF Örebro W
1.99
Örebro SK W
1.28

KIF Örebro W creates 55% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 31 away

creates per match

KIF Örebro W
2.28
Örebro SK W
1.13

allows per match

KIF Örebro W
1.44
Örebro SK W
1.71

finishing

KIF Örebro W+0.00on par
Örebro SK W+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KIF Örebro W ↓

Örebro SK W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

KIF Örebro W or draw
76%
KIF Örebro W or Örebro SK W
78%
Draw or Örebro SK W
46%

Winning margin

KIF Örebro W wins by 2+
31%
Örebro SK W wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

KIF Örebro W 1+ goals
86%
KIF Örebro W 2+ goals
59%
KIF Örebro W 3+ goals
32%
Örebro SK W 1+ goals
72%
Örebro SK W 2+ goals
37%
Örebro SK W 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

KIF Örebro W (draw refunded)
69%
Örebro SK W (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KIF Örebro W at home — creates 2.28, concedes 1.44 · 18 matches

Örebro SK W away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.71 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KIF Örebro W attack 2.28 + Örebro SK W defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.99

Örebro SK W attack 1.13 + KIF Örebro W defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

KIF Örebro W scores more
54%
level
22%
Örebro SK W scores more
24%

KIF Örebro W at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "KIF Örebro W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Örebro SK W win just 18% against the top half (vs 57% against the bottom)
  • Their last 3 meetings averaged 4 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WWWWW
W
WLDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: KIF Örebro W host Örebro SK W

August 15, 2026: KIF Örebro W take on Örebro SK W in Elitettan. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

KIF Örebro W host Örebro SK W at Behrn Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.