Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

KAC Kenitra vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra — Botola 2 2025

KAC Kenitra
KAC Kenitra
FT
0 – 0
Chabab Atl. Khenifra
Chabab Atl. Khenifra
9/21/2019Botola 2Botola 2 · Round 2Stade Municipal de Kénitra

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 73+ matches

KAC Kenitra44%
×Draw29%
Chabab Atl. Khenifra27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

KAC Kenitra
1.24
Chabab Atl. Khenifra
0.90

KAC Kenitra creates 38% more chances

Season form · 73 home / 115 away

creates per match

KAC Kenitra
1.26
Chabab Atl. Khenifra
0.81

allows per match

KAC Kenitra
0.99
Chabab Atl. Khenifra
1.22

finishing

KAC Kenitra+0.00on par
Chabab Atl. Khenifra+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KAC Kenitra ↓

Chabab Atl. Khenifra →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–111%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

KAC Kenitra or draw
73%
KAC Kenitra or Chabab Atl. Khenifra
71%
Draw or Chabab Atl. Khenifra
56%

Winning margin

KAC Kenitra wins by 2+
20%
Chabab Atl. Khenifra wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

KAC Kenitra 1+ goals
71%
KAC Kenitra 2+ goals
35%
KAC Kenitra 3+ goals
13%
Chabab Atl. Khenifra 1+ goals
59%
Chabab Atl. Khenifra 2+ goals
23%
Chabab Atl. Khenifra 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

KAC Kenitra (draw refunded)
62%
Chabab Atl. Khenifra (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KAC Kenitra at home — creates 1.26, concedes 0.99 · 73 matches

Chabab Atl. Khenifra away — creates 0.81, concedes 1.22 · 115 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KAC Kenitra attack 1.26 + Chabab Atl. Khenifra defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.24

Chabab Atl. Khenifra attack 0.81 + KAC Kenitra defence 0.99 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

KAC Kenitra scores more
44%
level
29%
Chabab Atl. Khenifra scores more
27%

KAC Kenitra at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "KAC Kenitra will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: KAC Kenitra vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra

KAC Kenitra and Chabab Atl. Khenifra drew 0-0 in Botola 2 on September 21, 2019.

The match was played at Stade Municipal de Kénitra in Kénitra.