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Jayxun vs Yaypan — Pro League A 2026

Jayxun
Jayxun
Preview
13:00
Yaypan
Yaypan
8/25/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 17
43%
Jayxun
model favours
43%24%33%
1–1
likely score
59%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Jayxun43%
×Draw24%
Yaypan33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jayxun
1.66
Yaypan
1.41

Jayxun creates 18% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 4 away

creates per match

Jayxun
1.06
Yaypan
1.25

allows per match

Jayxun
1.56
Yaypan
2.25

finishing

Jayxun+0.00on par
Yaypan+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jayxun ↓

Yaypan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Jayxun or draw
67%
Jayxun or Yaypan
76%
Draw or Yaypan
57%

Winning margin

Jayxun wins by 2+
22%
Yaypan wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Jayxun 1+ goals
81%
Jayxun 2+ goals
49%
Jayxun 3+ goals
23%
Yaypan 1+ goals
76%
Yaypan 2+ goals
41%
Yaypan 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Jayxun (draw refunded)
57%
Yaypan (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jayxun at home — creates 1.06, concedes 1.56 · 16 matches

Yaypan away — creates 1.25, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jayxun attack 1.06 + Yaypan defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 1.66

Yaypan attack 1.25 + Jayxun defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Jayxun scores more
43%
level
24%
Yaypan scores more
33%

Jayxun at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Jayxun will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Jayxun
LDLWW
Yaypan
LLWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Jayxun vs Yaypan — Match Preview

Jayxun face Yaypan on August 25, 2026 in this Pro League A fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.