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Jayxun vs Respublika FA — Pro League A 2026

Jayxun
Jayxun
Preview
14:00
Respublika FA
Respublika FA
10/26/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 24
42%
Respublika FA
model favours
31%27%42%

Jayxun and Respublika FA have never met before

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Jayxun31%
×Draw27%
Respublika FA42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jayxun
1.11
Respublika FA
1.36

Respublika FA creates 23% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 6 away

creates per match

Jayxun
1.06
Respublika FA
1.17

allows per match

Jayxun
1.56
Respublika FA
1.17

finishing

Jayxun+0.00on par
Respublika FA+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jayxun ↓

Respublika FA →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–112%
0–28%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–113%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Jayxun or draw
58%
Jayxun or Respublika FA
73%
Draw or Respublika FA
69%

Winning margin

Jayxun wins by 2+
12%
Respublika FA wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Jayxun 1+ goals
67%
Jayxun 2+ goals
30%
Jayxun 3+ goals
10%
Respublika FA 1+ goals
74%
Respublika FA 2+ goals
39%
Respublika FA 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Jayxun (draw refunded)
42%
Respublika FA (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jayxun at home — creates 1.06, concedes 1.56 · 16 matches

Respublika FA away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jayxun attack 1.06 + Respublika FA defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.11

Respublika FA attack 1.17 + Jayxun defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Jayxun scores more
31%
level
27%
Respublika FA scores more
42%

Respublika FA at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Respublika FA will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Jayxun
LDLWW
FA
WWLDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Jayxun host Respublika FA

October 26, 2026: Jayxun take on Respublika FA in Pro League A. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.