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Jayxun vs Gazalkent — Pro League A 2026

Jayxun
Jayxun
Preview
13:00
Gazalkent
Gazalkent
10/12/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 22
52%
Gazalkent
model favours
24%23%52%
1–1
likely score
56%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Jayxun24%
×Draw23%
Gazalkent52%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jayxun
1.13
Gazalkent
1.78

Gazalkent creates 58% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 5 away

creates per match

Jayxun
1.06
Gazalkent
2.00

allows per match

Jayxun
1.56
Gazalkent
1.20

finishing

Jayxun+0.00on par
Gazalkent+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jayxun ↓

Gazalkent →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–110%
0–29%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Jayxun or draw
48%
Jayxun or Gazalkent
77%
Draw or Gazalkent
76%

Winning margin

Jayxun wins by 2+
9%
Gazalkent wins by 2+
29%

Team goals

Jayxun 1+ goals
68%
Jayxun 2+ goals
31%
Jayxun 3+ goals
11%
Gazalkent 1+ goals
83%
Gazalkent 2+ goals
53%
Gazalkent 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Jayxun (draw refunded)
32%
Gazalkent (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jayxun at home — creates 1.06, concedes 1.56 · 16 matches

Gazalkent away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jayxun attack 1.06 + Gazalkent defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.13

Gazalkent attack 2.00 + Jayxun defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Jayxun scores more
24%
level
23%
Gazalkent scores more
52%

Gazalkent at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Gazalkent will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Jayxun
LDLWW
Gazalkent
WWDWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Jayxun face Gazalkent (Pro League A)

Pro League A returns with Jayxun hosting Gazalkent. Match starts October 12, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.