Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Internazionale U20 vs Cagliari U20 — Campionato Primavera - 1 2020

Internazionale U20
Internazionale U20
Preview
09:00
Cagliari U20
Cagliari U20
9/12/2026Campionato Primavera - 1Campionato Primavera - 1 · Round 4
52%
Internazionale U20
model favours
52%22%25%

Internazionale U20 sit 6, Cagliari U20 18 in the table

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Internazionale U2052%
×Draw22%
Cagliari U2025%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Internazionale U20
1.90
Cagliari U20
1.26

Internazionale U20 creates 51% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 39 away

creates per match

Internazionale U20
2.11
Cagliari U20
1.15

allows per match

Internazionale U20
1.37
Cagliari U20
1.69

finishing

Internazionale U20+0.00on par
Cagliari U20+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Internazionale U20 ↓

Cagliari U20 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Internazionale U20 or draw
75%
Internazionale U20 or Cagliari U20
78%
Draw or Cagliari U20
48%

Winning margin

Internazionale U20 wins by 2+
30%
Cagliari U20 wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Internazionale U20 1+ goals
85%
Internazionale U20 2+ goals
56%
Internazionale U20 3+ goals
29%
Cagliari U20 1+ goals
72%
Cagliari U20 2+ goals
36%
Cagliari U20 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Internazionale U20 (draw refunded)
67%
Cagliari U20 (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Internazionale U20 at home — creates 2.11, concedes 1.37 · 38 matches

Cagliari U20 away — creates 1.15, concedes 1.69 · 39 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Internazionale U20 attack 2.11 + Cagliari U20 defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.90

Cagliari U20 attack 1.15 + Internazionale U20 defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Internazionale U20 scores more
52%
level
22%
Cagliari U20 scores more
25%

Internazionale U20 at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Internazionale U20 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
U20
LWWLD
U20
WDDWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Internazionale U20 face Cagliari U20 (Campionato Primavera - 1)

Campionato Primavera - 1 returns with Internazionale U20 hosting Cagliari U20. Match starts September 12, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.