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Incheon Red Angels W vs Gumi Sportstoto W — WK-League 2026

Incheon Red Angels W
Incheon Red Angels W
Preview
10:00
Gumi Sportstoto W
Gumi Sportstoto W
8/7/2026WK-LeagueWK-League · Round 19
Big match
56%
Incheon Red Angels W
model favours
56%24%19%

Gumi Sportstoto W score first in only 9% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
53%
under 2.5 goals
48%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 76+ matches

Incheon Red Angels W56%
×Draw24%
Gumi Sportstoto W19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Incheon Red Angels W
1.69
Gumi Sportstoto W
0.88

Incheon Red Angels W creates 92% more chances

Season form · 83 home / 76 away

creates per match

Incheon Red Angels W
1.92
Gumi Sportstoto W
1.00

allows per match

Incheon Red Angels W
0.75
Gumi Sportstoto W
1.46

finishing

Incheon Red Angels W+0.00on par
Gumi Sportstoto W+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Incheon Red Angels W ↓

Gumi Sportstoto W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–111%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
47%53%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Incheon Red Angels W or draw
81%
Incheon Red Angels W or Gumi Sportstoto W
76%
Draw or Gumi Sportstoto W
44%

Winning margin

Incheon Red Angels W wins by 2+
31%
Gumi Sportstoto W wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Incheon Red Angels W 1+ goals
82%
Incheon Red Angels W 2+ goals
50%
Incheon Red Angels W 3+ goals
24%
Gumi Sportstoto W 1+ goals
59%
Gumi Sportstoto W 2+ goals
22%
Gumi Sportstoto W 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Incheon Red Angels W (draw refunded)
74%
Gumi Sportstoto W (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Incheon Red Angels W at home — creates 1.92, concedes 0.75 · 83 matches

Gumi Sportstoto W away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.46 · 76 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Incheon Red Angels W attack 1.92 + Gumi Sportstoto W defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.69

Gumi Sportstoto W attack 1.00 + Incheon Red Angels W defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Incheon Red Angels W scores more
56%
level
24%
Gumi Sportstoto W scores more
19%

Incheon Red Angels W at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Incheon Red Angels W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Incheon Red Angels W score first in only 11% of matches
  • Gumi Sportstoto W win just 12% against the top half (vs 45% against the bottom)
  • Their last 10 meetings averaged just 1.2 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
LDWD
W
LDLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Incheon Red Angels W face Gumi Sportstoto W (WK-League)

WK-League returns with Incheon Red Angels W hosting Gumi Sportstoto W. Match starts August 7, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.