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Incheon Red Angels W vs Boeun Sangmu W — WK-League 2026

Incheon Red Angels W
Incheon Red Angels W
Preview
10:00
Boeun Sangmu W
Boeun Sangmu W
8/21/2026WK-LeagueWK-League · Round 21
Big match
60%
Incheon Red Angels W
model favours
60%23%17%

Incheon Red Angels W score first in only 11% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
50%
over 2.5 goals
48%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 77+ matches

Incheon Red Angels W60%
×Draw23%
Boeun Sangmu W17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Incheon Red Angels W
1.81
Boeun Sangmu W
0.85

Incheon Red Angels W creates 113% more chances

Season form · 83 home / 77 away

creates per match

Incheon Red Angels W
1.92
Boeun Sangmu W
0.95

allows per match

Incheon Red Angels W
0.75
Boeun Sangmu W
1.70

finishing

Incheon Red Angels W+0.00on par
Boeun Sangmu W+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Incheon Red Angels W ↓

Boeun Sangmu W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–111%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Incheon Red Angels W or draw
83%
Incheon Red Angels W or Boeun Sangmu W
77%
Draw or Boeun Sangmu W
40%

Winning margin

Incheon Red Angels W wins by 2+
35%
Boeun Sangmu W wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Incheon Red Angels W 1+ goals
84%
Incheon Red Angels W 2+ goals
54%
Incheon Red Angels W 3+ goals
27%
Boeun Sangmu W 1+ goals
57%
Boeun Sangmu W 2+ goals
21%
Boeun Sangmu W 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Incheon Red Angels W (draw refunded)
78%
Boeun Sangmu W (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Incheon Red Angels W at home — creates 1.92, concedes 0.75 · 83 matches

Boeun Sangmu W away — creates 0.95, concedes 1.70 · 77 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Incheon Red Angels W attack 1.92 + Boeun Sangmu W defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.81

Boeun Sangmu W attack 0.95 + Incheon Red Angels W defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Incheon Red Angels W scores more
60%
level
23%
Boeun Sangmu W scores more
17%

Incheon Red Angels W at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Incheon Red Angels W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Boeun Sangmu W score first in only 24% of matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
LDWD
W
WWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Incheon Red Angels W host Boeun Sangmu W

August 21, 2026: Incheon Red Angels W take on Boeun Sangmu W in WK-League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.